Home / Weather / Weekly Local weather and Power Information Roundup #392

Weekly Local weather and Power Information Roundup #392

The Week That Was once: 2019-12-28 (December 28, 2019)

Delivered to You through SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking

Quote of the Week: When requested, what he would inform a era dwelling 1,000 years from now, Bertrand Russell (1959) responded:

“I will have to like to mention two issues, one highbrow and one ethical:

“The highbrow factor I will have to wish to say to them is that this: If you find yourself finding out any topic or making an allowance for any philosophy, ask your self best what are the information and what’s the fact that the information endure out. By no means let your self be diverted both through what you want to consider or through what you suppose would have beneficent social results if it had been believed, yet glance best and only at what are the information. That’s the highbrow factor that I will have to want to say.” – Bertrand Russell (1959)

Choice of the Week: 3-Fold Build up in Fish

THIS WEEK:

By way of Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)

The Worst of Instances or The Perfect of Instances: In line with the United Countries, its supporting organizations, and lots of different organizations engaged in what they imagine to be science, we’re in a weather disaster, or weather emergency. The cries of youngsters that adults have robbed them in their destiny are repeated on supposedly rational boards and publications. The long run is dire and we will have to exchange our tactics or face extinction.

But through many goal requirements, this decade could be the most efficient, maximum filthy rich decade humanity skilled in recorded historical past. The diversities between what the UN and its supporters declare and what the information display are stark. Benefiting from the “lull” in information that happens over the vacations, this TWTW and the following will provide information supporting the statement that we live in the most efficient of instances in trendy historical past with fewer climate linked deaths, in keeping with capita, emphasised herein and different information on agriculture, prosperity, struggle, and so on. emphasised subsequent week.

In his essay, “We’ve simply had the most efficient decade in human historical past. Severely,” Matt Ridley discusses one of the most problems that can be offered. However he does now not speak about the explanations. Human creativeness can very much receive advantages humanity. Sadly, it may be perverse as effectively.

Most likely the best present of humanity to humanity is the clinical manner. Advanced over millennia in lots of cultures, it all started to succeed in nice fruition in western Europe within the 16th and 17th centuries and used to be followed through westernized international locations. The clinical manner has been implemented to many industries and actions, elevating the factors of dwelling a ways past subsistence farming. Additionally, the process gave upward thrust to horrific guns. For years, the clinical manner used to be known as western science.

One of the vital ultimate academics of the clinical manner in English used to be the Nobel co-laureate in physics Richard Feynman. He advised tales to make important issues. One such tale used to be of primitive Pacific Islanders watching the actions at a Global Warfare II touchdown strip and construction identical amenities out of picket and straw with hopes that airplanes would arrive bringing superb pieces. He known as this state of mind Shipment-Cult Science. The trimmings and logos of a science are not making a science.

In a well-known lecture offered on the 15th annual assembly of the Nationwide Science Academics Affiliation in 1966, Feynman gave his view of what science is. After an extended creation with tales he states:

“This phenomenon of getting a reminiscence for the [human] race, of getting an accrued wisdom satisfactory from one era to one other, used to be new on the earth–but it surely had a illness in it: it used to be imaginable to go on concepts which have been now not successful for the race. The race has concepts, yet they aren’t essentially successful.

“So, there got here a time by which the tips, even though accrued very slowly, had been all accumulations now not best of sensible and helpful issues, yet nice accumulations of all varieties of prejudices, and unusual and peculiar ideals.

“Then some way of keeping off the illness used to be came upon. That is to doubt that what’s being handed from the previous is in reality true, and to take a look at to determine ab initio [from the beginning] back from revel in what the location is, quite than trusting the revel in of the previous within the shape by which it’s handed down. And that’s what science is: the results of the invention that it’s profitable rechecking through new direct revel in, and now not essentially trusting the [human] race[’s] revel in from the previous. I see it that approach. This is my ultimate definition.”

[Remark: The primary [human], [from the beginning], and boldface had been added through TWTW.]

It’s the consistent want to recheck quite than believe previous ideals this is giving upward thrust to a really perfect disparity between the UN science with its interpretation of the arena, and what many unbiased critics of UN science state is happening on the earth. The UN paintings is constructed on a science this is being old-fashioned through observations during the last 40 years. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and In the hunt for a Commonplace Flooring.

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Contradicting a Local weather Disaster – Our Global in Information: As mentioned on its site, the unbiased group Our Global in Information gifts information to handle:

“Poverty, illness, starvation, weather exchange, struggle, existential dangers, and inequality: The arena faces many nice and terrifying issues on the identical time. It’s those huge issues that our paintings at Our Global in Information specializes in.

“The arena has the sources to do significantly better. And due to the paintings of hundreds of researchers around the globe who devote their lives to finding out the arena’s biggest issues we frequently have a just right working out of them. However we consider key explanation why we fail to succeed in the growth we’re able to is that we are not making sufficient use of this current analysis and information: the essential wisdom is frequently saved in inaccessible databases, locked away in the back of paywalls and buried underneath jargon in instructional papers.

“The function of our paintings is to make the information at the huge issues available and comprehensible. As we are saying on our homepage, Our Global in Information is ready Analysis and information to make growth in opposition to the arena’s biggest issues.”

The site additionally provides its primary supporters to incorporate the Invoice and Melinda Gates Basis, German businesswoman Susanne Klatten, and the London-based Nuffield Basis (2015 & 16). A bunch of different sponsors and donors is indexed. In 2014, unbiased researchers Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser posted their intensive paintings on Herbal Failures site of Our Global in Information. In November 2019 this paintings used to be revised. The abstract states:

· Herbal failures kill on reasonable 60,000 folks in keeping with yr, globally.

· Globally, failures had been chargeable for zero.1% of deaths during the last decade. This used to be extremely variable, starting from zero.01% to zero.Four%.

· Deaths from pure failures have noticed a big decline during the last century – from, in some years, hundreds of thousands of deaths in keeping with yr to a median of 60,000 during the last decade.

· Traditionally, droughts and floods had been probably the most deadly crisis occasions. Deaths from those occasions are actually very low – probably the most fatal occasions lately have a tendency to be earthquakes.

· Failures have an effect on the ones in poverty maximum closely: excessive dying tolls have a tendency to be focused in low-to-middle source of revenue international locations with out the infrastructure to offer protection to and reply to occasions.

Beneath the precise heading of Annual deaths from pure failures the authors state:

“Within the visualization proven right here we see the long-term world fashion in pure crisis deaths. This displays the estimated annual selection of deaths from failures from 1900 onwards from the EMDAT Global Crisis Database.1

“What we see is that within the early-to-mid 20th century, the yearly dying toll from failures used to be excessive, frequently achieving over a million in keeping with yr. In fresh a long time we have now noticed a considerable decline in deaths. In maximum years fewer than 20,000 die (and in the latest decade, this has frequently been not up to 10,000). Even in top years with high-impact occasions, the dying toll has now not exceeded 500,000 for the reason that mid-1960s.

“This decline is much more spectacular after we imagine the velocity of inhabitants enlargement over this era. After we proper for inhabitants – appearing this knowledge in relation to dying charges (measured in keeping with 100,000 folks) – we see a fair higher decline during the last century. This chart will also be seen right here. [Chart not shown in TWTW but shown on the website.]

“The once a year selection of deaths from pure failures could also be to be had through nation since 1990. This will also be explored within the interactive map.”

Those findings without delay contradict the claims of a weather disaster or weather emergency through the UN and its supporters. Very merely, in spite of will increase in inhabitants, dying tolls from pure failures aren’t expanding. Claims of human motive are inappropriate. Loss of life tolls have fallen tremendously, due to quite a few causes together with higher resilience which is able to end result from higher prosperity. The authors give more than one units of information for america and the Globe for climate occasions corresponding to Flood, Wind, Warmth, Chilly, Climate occasions, and so on. The claims of the UN and its supporters don’t get up to research.

Additional, the International Tropical Cyclone Process displays no build up in frequency and accrued calories all through its whole dataset from 1971 to November 30, 2019. The claims of weather disaster are false. See hyperlinks underneath In the hunt for a Commonplace Flooring.

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UN Fables No longer Information: The UN has created a parody, a mockery, of the clinical manner through difficult exact values for obscure ideas it has created and through substituting fables for information. The transparent factor is what’s going to occur to temperatures with a doubling of carbon dioxide? The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Alternate (IPCC) promotes the values within the 1979 Charney Document, asserted through US weather modelers with none supporting proof. The laboratory result of a modest warming within the vary of about 1 ºC (about 2 ºF) had been very much amplified through presumed will increase in probably the most vital greenhouse gasoline – water vapor. There used to be no experimental or observational proof introduced to beef up the declare – best speculative calculations that could be faulty.

With out addressing the core query, what’s going to occur if CO2 doubles, the UN IPCC specializes in providing more than a few eventualities, storylines or fables, on what may perhaps occur as international locations build up CO2 emissions. Thus, a lot of the dialogue is on which fantasy is much more likely to occur?

Feedbacks and equilibrium weather sensitivity and also are mishandled and assigned values which can be speculative. There is also quite a few sure or unfavorable feedbacks. However those want to be demonstrated through experiment on atmospheric gases or through atmospheric observations. They have got now not been convincingly demonstrated.

As mentioned in final week’s TWTW, in his new paper Richard Lindzen addressed the essential factor of the temperature distinction between the equator and the polar areas all through the final foremost ice age and the final foremost heat length. The temperatures within the tropics didn’t exchange a lot from the chilly technology to the nice and cozy technology. Thus, we will have to now not be expecting a powerful tropical “sizzling spot” all through the present warming. Observational proof of temperature developments display one isn’t going on, thus a powerful sure comments from water vapor isn’t going on. The USA fashions have now not been adjusted to mirror the absence of a powerful sure comments which, in 1979, america modelers insisted existed, yet by no means demonstrated.

In a similar way, the UN IPCC idea of an equilibrium weather sensitivity has little which means. The earth hasn’t ever been in weather equilibrium, with the exception of for faulty mathematical simulations of the earth’s weather corresponding to gave the impression within the notorious “hockey-stick.” One might argue that on the top of an ice age or top of a heat length the earth is at a weather equilibrium, yet that will be temporarily debunked through those that acknowledge the Milankovitch cycles, mentioned in final week’s TWTW.

In Local weather And many others. former weather modeler Judith Curry discusses what hurt is there in spotting that the important thing factor is how a lot warming will happen from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) from lately? The query is: what’s essential for humanity now? Thus, making the UN claims of warming from the 1880s frivolous. She additionally posts a counter argument to her place through a defender of the UN place. Within the Curry submit and the counter argument a brand new idea is offered: TCRE, brief weather reaction to cumulative carbon emissions, i.e., the connection between temperatures and cumulative emissions.

The TCRE idea seems to have little price. If the present stages of atmospheric CO2 aren’t inflicting vital warming of the ambience, why introduce new ideas that avoids the singular problems? How a lot atmospheric warming is happening from CO2 lately? Secondly, how a lot will happen with a doubling of CO2? Sure, there’s uncertainty in regards to the weather within the overdue a part of this century.

However we don’t perceive the pure reasons of weather exchange and they’re extra vital than human emitted greenhouse gases. We can’t are expecting subsequent month’s climate, why be expecting extra exact predictions for 80 years from now? See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and Protecting the Orthodoxy.

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Situations: Within the first of 2 portions, Roger Pielke Jr. describes how the usage of eventualities has been distorted through the weather science neighborhood. He states:

“Situations of the longer term have lengthy sat on the heart of discussions of weather science, affects and adaptation and mitigation insurance policies. Situation making plans has an extended historical past and will also be traced to the RAND Company all through Global Warfare 2 and, later (mockingly sufficient) Shell, a fossil gasoline corporate. Situations aren’t meant to be forecasts of the longer term, yet quite to function an alternative choice to forecasting. Situations supply an outline of imaginable futures contingent upon more than a few elements, only a few of which could be underneath the management of resolution makers.”

Sadly, the IPCC gifts eventualities, which will also be known as fables, as believable results, with the worst going on if the international locations of the arena don’t post to UN management of CO2 emissions. The UN has no management of pure variability, and the IPCC ignores it. See hyperlink underneath Science, Coverage, and Proof.

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Power Poverty: Writing in Actual Transparent Power, Katie Tahauha of the Texas Public Coverage Basis addresses unlucky new phrases decided on through two English dictionaries. She states:

“It’s that point of yr. As New 12 months’s Eve approaches, we glance again on 2019 looking for nuggets of knowledge from twelve extra months of the human revel in. Sadly, the Phrase of the 12 months picks from two height dictionaries disclose simply how out of place this yr’s priorities had been.

“The Oxford English Dictionary decided on ‘weather disaster’ because the time period that ‘displays the ethos, temper, or preoccupations of the passing yr.’ Placing a in a similar way dismal word, Dictionary.com’s variety used to be ‘existential.’

“A greater phrase of the yr for 2019? Power poverty.”

She is going directly to state:

“Even family chores pose a danger with out calories. Just about Four million perish yearly from preventable lung and middle illness brought about through breathing in soot when cooking over an indoor fireplace. The pure gasoline or electrical stoves we take without any consideration would actually save lives in creating international locations.”

TWTW may perhaps disagree with the dimensions of the estimates of those that die from preventable lung and middle illness from indoor fires yet consents that indoor cooking and heating fires are preventable fitness threats. See hyperlinks underneath Wondering the Orthodoxy.

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Choice of the Week: 3-Fold Build up in Fish. Since 2010, researchers at Southern Move College were finding out the affect of the very salty discharge from a desalination plant close to Sydney, together with classes when the plant briefly ceased operations. The lead researcher mentioned:

“’There used to be a 279 in keeping with cent build up in fish existence. It’s crucial end result, as large-scale desalination is turning into an integral part of future-proofing the water provides of foremost towns, corresponding to Sydney, Perth, and Melbourne’ Professor Kelaher stated.”

The paper’s summary states:

“At 12 instances sooner than, 8 instances all through, and 4 instances following the cessation of discharging hypersaline brine, we sampled reef fishes at two outlet websites and two shut reference websites, in addition to 4 reference websites that had been positioned from 2–eight km from the hole. At every website online and every time of sampling, 5 50 m video transects had been used to pattern reef fish assemblages. Following the graduation of discharging, there used to be a 279% build up within the abundance of fish across the outlet, which integrated considerably higher abundances of pelagic and demersal fish, in addition to fishes focused through leisure and business fishers. Following the cessation of discharge, abundances of fishes most commonly returned to stages such that there used to be not an important impact in comparison to the length previous to the graduation of the desalination plant’s operations. Total, our effects exhibit that well-designed marine infrastructure and processes used to beef up the rising call for for potable water too can fortify native fish abundances and species richness.”

If such will increase in fish inhabitants are showed through research of different discharges from desalination crops, then the inside track is very sure. Desalination has transform sensible, reasonably priced, choice to groundwater pumping in coastal spaces the place land subsidence has transform an issue, such because the Tidewater area of Virginia. [There is some issue about terminology: is a 279 per cent increase an almost threefold increase or an almost fourfold increase?] See hyperlinks underneath Different Information that Would possibly Be of Hobby

NEWS YOU CAN USE:

Statement: Is the Solar Emerging?

Opposite Polarity Sunspots seem at the Solar – finishing a 39 day stretch of spotless days

By way of Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 24, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/24/reverse-polarity-sunspots-appear-on-the-sun-ending-a-39-day-stretch-of-spotless-days/

Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Bodily Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), 2013

https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-II/CCR-II-Complete.pdf

Abstract: http://www.nipccreport.org/stories/ccr2a/pdf/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Organic Affects

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By way of More than one Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate, April 2019

http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Obtain without a price:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Local weather-Alternate-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Quantity-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming

The NIPCC Document at the Medical Consensus

By way of Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Obtain without a price:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, No longer Human Process, Regulations the Local weather

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

International Sea-Degree Upward push: An Analysis of the Information

By way of Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Would possibly 20, 2019

https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/publications/SeaLevelRiseCCRII.pdf

Difficult the Orthodoxy

Three levels C?

By way of Judith Curry, Local weather And many others. Dec 23, 2019

https://judithcurry.com/2019/12/23/Three-degrees-c/#more-25553

Activists Don’t Be successful, However Take a look at, Take a look at Once more on Local weather Attribution Science,

By way of Spencer Walrath, Power in Intensity, Dec 19, 2019

https://eidclimate.org/activists-dont-succeed-but-try-try-again-on-climate-attribution-science/

Hyperlink to paper: Attributing ocean acidification to foremost carbon manufacturers

By way of R. Linker, et al. Environmental Analysis Letters, Dec 11, 2019

https://www.ucsusa.org/websites/default/information/2019-12/Environmental%20Analysis%20Letters%20e-newsletter.pdf

We’ve simply had the most efficient decade in human historical past. Severely

By way of Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist, Dec 21, 2019

http://www.rationaloptimist.com/weblog/best-decade-in-history/

On Local weather Sensitivity

By way of Richard Lindzen, with Evaluate The aid of Roy Spencer, CO2 Coalition, 2019

http://co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Lindzen_On-Local weather-Sensitivity.pdf

Failed Serial Doomcasting

By way of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/27/failed-serial-doomcasting/

The Laughable Lust for Seriousness

By way of Tim Blair, Quadrant, AU, Dec 27, 2019

https://quadrant.org.au/mag/2019/12/the-laughable-lust-for-seriousness/

“The lust for seriousness is probably the most craven of vices. And it ends up in the worst results. Over many a long time, as an example, generations of very critical folks—state and federal politicians, most commonly—have sat round and thought to be how ultimate to control Australia’s calories desires. They took cautious inventory of our considerable provides of coal, our monumental gasoline reserves and our massive uranium deposits. They carried out critical research, they consulted critical professionals they usually labored critical hours.

“After which they delivered a machine that fees a number of the best calories costs on earth.”

Protecting the Orthodoxy

5 causes COP25 weather talks failed

By way of Marlowe Hood, AFP, Dec 25, 2019

http://www.terradaily.com/stories/Five_reasons_COP25_climate_talks_failed_999.html

“A number of the almost 30,000 diplomats, professionals, activists and reporters accepted to wait the summit had been masses of high-octane fossil gasoline lobbyists.

“They’re jointly the elephant within the room: we all know what reasons weather exchange but it surely is thought of as impolitic inside the UN weather bubble to indicate palms.”

[SEPP Comment: What caused the ending of ice ages?]

Two extra levels through 2100!

By way of Vaughan Pratt, Local weather And many others. Dec 27, 2019

https://judithcurry.com/2019/12/27/two-more-degrees-by-2100/#more-25576

Wondering the Orthodoxy

A Higher Phrase of the 12 months for 2019: Power Poverty

By way of Katie Tahuahua, Actual Transparent Power, Dec 20, 2019

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/12/20/a_better_word_of_the_year_for_2019_energy_poverty_110503.html

Find out about: No Discernible Hyperlink From CO2 Forcing To Local weather For 97% Of The Remaining 425 Million Years

By way of Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 23, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/23/study-no-discernible-link-from-co2-forcing-to-climate-for-97-of-the-last-425-million-years/

A Determined Lack Of Equilibrium

By way of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 26, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/26/a-decided-lack-of-equilibrium/

350 Papers Printed Since 2017 Subvert The Declare That Put up-1850s Warming Has Been Abnormal, International

By way of Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 26, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/26/350-papers-published-since-2017-subvert-the-claim-that-post-1850s-warming-has-been-unusual-global/

Bushfires and Local weather Alternate: No Hyperlink In any way

By way of James Jeffery, Quadrant, AU, Dec 26, 2019

https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2019/12/bushfires-and-climate-change-no-link-whatsoever/

After Paris!

A yr of useless weather insanity looms

By way of David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 26, 2019

https://www.cfact.org/2019/12/26/a-year-of-ineffective-climate-madness-looms/

“Politicians promising the inconceivable, to be delivered within the a ways far-off destiny, do no hurt. Therefore their recognition.”

The Actual Global Intrudes at the UN Local weather Convention

By way of William R. Hawkins, American Philosopher, Dec 24, 2019

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2019/12/the_real_world_intrudes_on_the_un_climate_conference.html

UN’s Madrid Local weather Conferences Produce Web-0 Advantages

By way of Larry Bell, Newsmax, Dec 23, 2019

https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/madrid-ipcc-maldives-sea-levels/2019/12/23/identity/947056/

Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide

Main Evolutionary Biologist Says “CO2 Is A Blessing”, Rejects Cult-Like “Earth Warmth Loss of life” Claims

German evolutionary biologist and physiologist Prof. Dr. Ulrich Kutschera advised in an interview that “CO2 is a blessing for mankind” and that the claimed “97% consensus” amongst scientists is “a fable”

By way of P Gosselin, from Die kalte Sonne, By the use of No Methods Zone, Dec 22, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/22/leading-evolutionary-biologist-says-co2-is-a-blessing-rejects-cult-like-earth-heat-death-claims/

In the hunt for a Commonplace Flooring

What Is Science?

By way of Richard Feynman, Nationwide Science Academics Affiliation, 1966

http://www.feynman.com/science/what-is-science/

Herbal Failures

By way of Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser, Our Global in Information, November 2019

https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters

International Tropical Cyclone Process

By way of Ryan N. Maue, Local weather Atlas, Dec 29, 2019]

http://climatlas.com/tropical/

Science, Coverage, and Proof

In 2020 Local weather Science Wishes To Hit The Reset Button, Section One

By way of Roger Pielke, Forbes, Dec 22, 2019 [Jeff Reynolds]

https://www.forbes.com/websites/rogerpielke/2019/12/22/in-2020-climate-science-needs-to-hit-the-reset-button-part-one/#7cb54a92482c

Size Problems — Floor

Lifeless Dingoes Don’t Lie, However Local weather Scientists Do

By way of Tony Heller, Actual Local weather Science, Dec 26, 2019

https://realclimatescience.com/2019/12/dead-dingoes-dont-lie-but-climate-scientists-do/

“Not one of the claims being made about listing warmth or fires are credible, yet this is usual working process for weather scientists.”

Converting Climate

Provisional US Twister Stats–Any other 12 months With out An EF-Five

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 27, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/27/provisional-us-tornado-stats-another-year-without-an-ef-Five/

From arctic blasts to warmth waves, this yr’s climate broke greater than 120,000 data in america

By way of Christina Walker, CNN, Dec 24, 2019

https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/23/us/2019-us-weather-records-trnd/index.html

The Previous Polar Vortex

By way of Tony Heller, Actual Local weather Science, Dec 26, 2019

https://realclimatescience.com/2019/12/the-old-polar-vortex/

Converting Seas

What Can You See, Indicating Sea Ranges are Emerging?

By way of Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Dec 28, 109

https://jennifermarohasy.com/2019/12/what-can-you-see-indicating-sea-levels-are-rising/

Widespread Outer Banks island lower aside through Storm Dorian is reforming and rising

By way of Mark Value, Information & Observer, Dec 20, 2019 [H/t Bill Balgord]

https://www.newsobserver.com/information/native/article238588758.html

Converting Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Dec. 22 Arctic Ice Just about Customary

By way of Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 23, 2019

https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2019/12/23/dec-22-arctic-ice-nearly-normal/

Too A lot Snow For Rudolf!

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 26, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/26/too-much-snow-for-rudolf/

Converting Earth

Scientists in finding massive meteor crater in northeast China

By way of Personnel Writers, Harbin, China (XNA), Dec 27, 2019

http://www.spacedaily.com/stories/Scientists_find_huge_meteor_crater_in_northeast_China_999.html

Decreasing Requirements

“The Lancet” on Well being and Local weather Alternate: A Story of Editorial Bias

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 23, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/23/the-lancet-on-health-and-climate-change-a-tale-of-editorial-bias/#more-42752

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?

Local weather Alternate to make Boxing Day cricket extinct. ABC and Monash make historical past extinct.

By way of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 27, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/12/climate-change-to-make-boxing-day-cricket-extinct-abc-makes-history-extinct/

Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?

Bloomberg: RCP8.Five Local weather Disaster is Not likely – On account of Affordable Renewables

By way of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 25, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/25/bloomberg-rcp8-Five-climate-catastrophe-is-unlikely-because-of-cheap-renewables/

Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.

FT: Low Hobby Charges are an Alternative to Spend Large on Renewable Power

By way of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/27/ft-low-interest-rates-are-an-opportunity-to-spend-big-on-renewable-energy/

Find out about Displays How Air pollution, Local weather Alternate May Make Us Dumber

By way of Bruce Y. Lee, Forbes, Dec 22, 2019

https://www.forbes.com/websites/brucelee/2019/12/22/study-shows-how-pollution-climate-change-could-make-us-dumber/#329367533a96

“I’m a author, journalist, professor, techniques modeler, computational and virtual fitness knowledgeable, avocado-eater, and entrepreneur, now not all the time in that order.”

“For the paper, Kristopher Karnauskas and Shelly Miller from the College of Colorado and Anna Schapiro from the College of Pennsylvania discovered research that confirmed the connection between CO2 stages and considering skill and created a predictive type of what would possibly occur through the years, giving present developments in fossil gasoline pollutants.”

[SEPP Comment: The Navy and NASA have extensive studies on the relationship between CO2 and thinking ability. Did the modelers use these studies?]

Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?

Chemophobia: Just about 40% Of Europeans Need A Chemical-Unfastened Global

By way of Alex Berezow, ACSH, Dec 18, 2019

https://www.acsh.org/information/2019/12/18/chemophobia-nearly-40-europeans-want-chemical-free-world-14465

“A brand new be taught unearths that just about 40% of Europeans wish to ‘reside in an international the place chemical compounds don’t exist.’ Any other 82% didn’t know that desk salt is desk salt, if it is extracted from the sea or made synthetically.”

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters

“I don’t wish to die!” Local weather Exploitation of Youngsters

By way of Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 23, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/23/i-dont-want-to-die-climate-exploitation-of-children/

Video through Buddies of Science

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Youngsters for Propaganda

Greta The Film

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 23, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/23/greta-the-movie/#more-42746

[SEPP Comment: Greta’s comment “We’ve had enough” followed by a long pause should be directed to those who are shamelessly using her for propaganda.]

Wondering Inexperienced Somewhere else

Inexperienced ideology, now not weather exchange, makes bushfires worse

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 24, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/24/green-ideology-not-climate-change-makes-bushfires-worse/

[SEPP Comment: According to the Volunteer Fire Fighters Association of New South Wales.]

2019 Wildfires burn 20 instances as a lot land as controlled gasoline discount in NSW (thus far)

By way of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 22, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/12/2019-wildfires-burn-20-times-as-much-land-as-managed-fuel-reduction-in-nsw/

Local weather exchange and bushfires — Extra rain, the similar droughts, no fashion, no science

By way of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 24, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/12/climate-change-and-bushfires-more-rain-the-same-droughts-no-trend-no-science/

[SEPP Comment: The graph comparing 67 years of areas of prescribed burns and bushfires is telling.]

Are Australian Wildfires Due To Local weather Alternate?

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 24, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/24/are-australian-wildfires-due-to-climate-change/

Litigation Problems

Exxon and Proof 101

By way of John S. Baker, Jr. Actual Transparent Power, Dec 20, 2019

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/12/20/exxon_and_evidence_101_110502.html

“The issue for most of these legal professionals normal is that states haven’t any jurisdiction over weather exchange. No matter one thinks about weather exchange, the climatic phenomena know no borders. If anything else will have to be accomplished about weather exchange, it’s correctly dedicated to the government.”

[SEPP Comment: Why should lack of jurisdiction stop an ambitious AG?]

Court docket orders EPA to put in writing temperature management plans for Columbia, Snake

By way of George Plaven, Capital Press, Dec 27, 2019 [H/t Ken Schlichte]

https://www.capitalpress.com/ag_sectors/water/court-orders-epa-to-write-temperature-control-plans-for-columbia/article_546fbc56-2810-11ea-ab49-f7acc454b367.html

“The ruling through the ninth U.S. Circuit Court docket of Appeals is more likely to accentuate the continued debate over breaching 4 Decrease Snake River dams in Jap Washington to extend salmon and steelhead runs.”

[SEPP Comment: Maybe the court will order plans for rainfall!]

It Would possibly Have Simply Gotten A Lot More uncomplicated To Sue Exxon And Shell For Local weather Alternate Devastation

A brand new investigation supplies probably the most “tough” proof but connecting fossil gasoline agencies to climate-related human rights violations, criminal professionals say.

By way of Kyla Mandel, HuffPost, Dec 12, 2019

https://www.huffpost.com/access/philippines-commission-on-human-rights-fossil-fuel-companies-liable-climate-change_n_5df1698de4b01e0f29597ad8

“Over the past 3 years, the Philippines Fee on Human Rights (CHR) has been amassing proof on whether or not massive oil, coal, gasoline and mining agencies — corresponding to Shell, Chevron and Exxon — will also be held responsible for the human struggling brought about through weather exchange.”

Cap-and-Industry and Carbon Taxes

AEP’s Carbon Tax Myth

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 27, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/27/aeps-carbon-tax-fantasy/

The Carbon Tax: the Large Town ‘Incentivizes’ Rural Vermonters

By way of John Klar, American Philosopher, Dec 26, 2019

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2019/12/the_carbon_tax_the_big_city_incentivizes_rural_vermonters.html

[SEPP Comment: In Vermont, imaginative slogans replace analysis?]

Subsidies and Mandates Endlessly

Congress Says Nay to Increasing EV Tax Credit

By way of Matt Posky, The Fact About Automobiles, Dec 23, 2019 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2019/12/congress-says-nay-to-expanding-ev-tax-credits/

“President Donald Trump used to be additionally imagined to were in opposition to increasing EV credit, in keeping with Senator Debbie Stabenow (D-MI). ‘There was excessive resistance from the president,’ she advised Bloomberg final week. ‘I don’t know why the White Space would wish to forestall jobs and the way forward for the car .’”

[SEPP Comment: If EVs are the future, why do they need subsidies?]

Power Problems – Non-US

International Herbal Fuel Electrical energy Is Gaining On Coal

By way of Jude Clemente, Forbes, Dec 15, 2019

https://www.forbes.com/websites/judeclemente/2019/12/15/global-natural-gas-electricity-is-gaining-on-coal/#7b8951477bfd

Gazprom Makes Ukraine Deal as U.S. Sanctions Russia Pipeline

By way of Mathew Carr, Olga Tanas, Dina Khrennikova, and Daniel Flatley, Bloomberg, Dec 21, 2019

https://www.bloomberg.com/information/articles/2019-12-21/americasanctions-may-push-russia-to-sign-a-gas-deal-with-ukraine

Norway Names Arguable Local weather Alternate Skeptic As New Oil Minister

By way of Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Value.com, Dec 18, 2019

https://oilprice.com/Newest-Power-Information/Global-Information/Norway-Names-Arguable-Local weather-Alternate-Skeptic-As-New-Oil-Minister.html

Power Problems — US

Four Issues To Know About The N.H. Coal Plant Centered By way of Local weather Protesters

By way of Annie Ropeik, Ne Hampshire Public Radio, Dec 19, 2019

https://www.nhpr.org/submit/Four-things-know-about-nh-coal-plant-targeted-climate-protesters#circulate/zero

Oil and Herbal Fuel – the Long run or the Previous?

Chevron’s $10B Impairment: “one other symptom of top oil call for and the dying of the oil ”?

By way of David Middleton, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/27/chevrons-10b-impairment-another-symptom-of-peak-oil-demand-and-the-demise-of-the-oil-industry/

The Perfect And Worst Oil Predictions Of 2019

By way of Julianne Geiger, Oil Value.com, Dec 15, 2019

https://oilprice.com/Power/Oil-Costs/The-Perfect-And-Worst-Oil-Predictions-Of-2019.html

Nuclear Power and Fears

Russia’s New Floating Nuclear Energy Plant Starts Turning in Electrical energy To The Arctic

By way of Tyler Durden, 0 Hedge, Dec 24, 2019 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russias-new-floating-nuke-power-plant-begins-delivering-electricity

Most sensible 6 Nuclear Energy Achievements of the 12 months

By way of Aaron Larson, Energy Magazine, Dec 2, 2019

https://www.powermag.com/top-6-nuclear-power-achievements-of-the-year/

Selection, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Sun and Wind

Wind, photo voltaic face destiny with out subsidies

By way of James Osborne, Houston Chronical, By the use of GWPF, Dec 26, 2019

https://www.thegwpf.com/americacongress-abolishes-subsidies-for-wind-solar-energy/

Power & Environmental E-newsletter: December 23, 2019

By way of John Droz, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 23, 2019

https://www.masterresource.org/alliance-for-wise-energy-decisions/energy-environmental-newsletter-12-23-2019/

Selection, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Cars

German Professor Of Mechanical Engineering Says Electrical Mobility “A Unnecessary Dream”…”Will By no means Paintings”

By way of P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 25, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/25/german-professor-of-mechanical-engineering-says-electric-mobility-a-pointless-dream-will-never-work/

Police Wasted £1.Five Million on electrical Automobiles That Can’t Chase Criminals

By way of Kurt Zindulka, Breitbart, Dec 26, 2019 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2019/12/26/uk-police-wasted-million-electric-cars-cant-catch-criminals/

California Dreaming

California within the age of wildfires: Residing within the state of denial

“It’s most likely going to take extra folks loss of life, or shedding their properties and getting displaced, sooner than folks notice this case isn’t going to depart”

By way of Daphne White, San Francisco Curbed, Dec 27, 2019 [H/t Bob Zybach]

https://sf.curbed.com/2019/12/27/21039413/california-fire-wildfire-crisis-decade

[SEPP Comment: California’s “Age of Wildfires” is an entirely artificial construct created by government policies. A better term could be an “Age of Fueling Wildfires” by incompetent governments.]

Rainy Years, Dry Years

By way of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 25, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/25/wet-years-dry-years/

Well being, Power, and Local weather

Gretins wish to ban bronchial asthma inhalers

By way of Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, Dec 22, 2019

https://motls.blogspot.com/2019/12/gretins-want-to-ban-asthma-inhalers.html#extra

“Bronchial asthma carbon footprint ‘as huge as consuming meat’”

Environmental Business

Are BPA Alarmists Beating A Lifeless Molecule?

By way of Josh Bloom, ACSH, Dec 18, 2019

https://www.acsh.org/information/2019/12/18/are-bpa-alarmists-beating-dead-molecule-14464

Different Medical Information

385-million-year-old tree root unearths international’s oldest trendy woodland

By way of Brooks Hays, Washington (UPI), Dec 20, 2019

http://www.terradaily.com/stories/385-million-year-old_tree_root_reveals_worlds_oldest_modern_forest_999.html

Different Information that Would possibly Be of Hobby

Sydney’s desalination discharge boosts fish existence in time of weather uncertainty

Press Unencumber through Southern Move College, Dec 19, 2019

https://www.scu.edu.au/interact/information/latest-news/2019/sydneys-desalination-discharge-boosts-fish-life-in-time-of-climate-uncertainty.php

Hyperlink to paper: Impact of Desalination Discharge at the Abundance and Variety of Reef Fishes

By way of Brendan P. Kelaher, et al. Environmental Science Generation, Dec 18, 2019

https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.est.9b03565

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

Eco-builders are clutching at straws

Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 23, 2019

Eco-builders are clutching at straws

[SEPP Comment: Links to an article in The Times (UK) of people building new homes using bales of straw. Will it work in California or Australia?]

The Emmas! Primary New Eco-Awards Named After Emma Thompson

Press Unencumber, GWPF, Dec 21, 2019

https://www.thegwpf.com/the-emmas-major-new-eco-awards-named-after-emma-thompson/

ARTICLES

1. PG&E: Stressed out to Fail

The application has sparked fatal fires and pipeline explosions, left hundreds of thousands of Californians at nighttime and long past bankrupt two times in not up to 15 years. Right here’s what went mistaken.

By way of Russell Gold, Rebecca Smith and Katherine Blunt, WSJ, Dec 28, 2019

https://www.wsj.com/articles/pg-e-wired-to-fail-11577509261?mod=hp_lead_pos1

TWTW Abstract: The journalists write:

“PG&E Corp. Leader Government Tony Earley preferred the theory the minute he heard it. He would exchange the signature line on corporate emails —’PG&E is dedicated to protective our shoppers’ privateness’— to advertise protection as an alternative.

“Six months after a height state regulator recommended it, not anything had took place.

“‘We’ve yet one more degree of governance to move thru sooner than we will exchange,’ Jack Hagan, the regulator, recalled Mr. Earley announcing.

“‘I stated, ‘You’ve were given to be kidding me.’ He couldn’t get it accomplished.’

“For the previous 15 years, PG&E has plotted a spherical travel from one chapter to one other. In between, it navigated the aftermath of a catastrophic natural-gas pipeline explosion and a sequence of increasingly more difficult green-energy mandates from state regulators.

“Managing that push and pull would have challenged any corporate. It proved to be particularly difficult for a plodding application present process control upheaval, closely regulated and saddled with growing old, disregarded apparatus.

“Executives had been so centered at the previous and the longer term that the existing sneaked up on them. PG&E’s electrical strains, after years of deferred repairs, had been threatening drought-parched California. When the Camp Fireplace began to burn in overdue 2018, in the end killing 85 folks, it used to be the primary of 4 fires that PG&E reported it sparked that day. It used to be its 408th of 2018, and the 1,961st since record-keeping began in mid-2014.

“Hundreds of pages of paperwork and rankings of interviews display Mr. Earley, just like the CEO sooner than him and the one that adopted him, struggled to persuade the send. One attempted to reimagine the corporate. When that failed, the following one worked to go back to the fundamentals of safely turning in chronic. The final used to be left to stand the results.

“‘We recognize that we’ve fallen quick previously, too again and again with tragic penalties,’ PG&E stated in a written remark, including that it has made many wanted adjustments in workforce and practices. ‘We all know we have now a lot more paintings to do to satisfy the problem of safely offering electrical provider in a modified and converting weather.’”

Skipping over many efforts through corporate executives the account brings up crucial level on renewable calories:

“California Regulators saved up the power to satisfy the state’s competitive renewable calories targets.

“By way of 2012, PG&E used to be spending greater than $1.2 billion a yr to satisfy the objectives, greater than double what it spent in 2003, in keeping with PG&E filings, and it used to be projected to height $2 billion through 2015. Mr. Peevey, the utilities fee head, addressed fear that Californians confronted a ‘fee bomb’ because the offers kicked in.

“‘There is not any unfastened lunch right here,’ he advised state senators, explaining that the contracts, although pricey, had been making California an calories chief, and prices for destiny initiatives would fall.

“By way of 2015, the state discovered PG&E used to be paying a median of 12 cents a kilowatt hour for renewable electrical energy. 4 years previous, it paid not up to eight cents.

In line with an accompanying chart, in 2012, when PG&E used to be spending $1.2 billion on renewable objectives, it spent $zero.47 billion on electrical repairs and $zero.32 billion on gasoline repairs.

[TWTW Comment: This report is a decades-long account on the inability of PG&E to satisfy all its masters, including its stock and bond holders, regulators, politicians etc. But the reporters fail to mention that the ultimate master, those to whom the Constitution of the State of California grants final power, is the State Legislature.]

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2. The Roundup Stickup

A tribulation legal professional allegedly argued it’s inexpensive to be extorted than sued.

Editorial, WSJ, Dec 25, 2019

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-roundup-stickup-11577299381?mod=opinion_lead_pos2

TWTW Abstract: The editorial states:

“Tort attorneys frequently use the specter of jackpot verdicts to extort settlements from trade objectives. But if does a shakedown transform legal extortion? Remaining week the government charged Timothy Litzenburg for allegedly crossing that criminal line.

“Mr. Litzenburg, 37, made a reputation for himself on the Miller Company in Virginia, the place he used to be a part of a workforce suing Bayer on behalf of a groundskeeper who stated the weed killer Roundup brought about his most cancers. Trial attorneys benefit through taking a hefty chew of a agreement or damages. But if Mr. Litzenburg opened his personal legislation company final yr, he allegedly had a distinct trade type in thoughts.

“The feds say the extortion plot started in September when Mr. Litzenburg despatched a draft grievance to ‘Corporate 1,’ known through the Wall Side road Magazine as Amsterdam-based chemical maker Nouryon. The legal professional stated the corporate had created chemical substances utilized in Roundup and ‘knew of the carcinogenic houses of those chemical substances yet did not warn’ customers in regards to the dangers, the federal grievance says.

“Mr. Litzenburg allegedly adopted up his draft lawsuit danger with an be offering, which he repeated in emails and recorded telephone calls. The corporate might pay the plaintiff $Five million, input right into a $200 million ‘consulting association’ with him and his pals, and steer clear of what Mr. Litzenburg allegedly described as ‘the parade of horribles that has been the Roundup litigation for Bayer/Monsanto.’

“‘Any other factor I will ensure and warrant: within the absence of a so-called ‘world’ or ultimate take care of me, this may increasingly no doubt balloon into an existential danger’ to the corporate, Mr. Litzenburg allegedly wrote in an e-mail. The federal grievance says he warned that ‘protection prices and value to in the long run get to the bottom of the hundreds or tens of hundreds of circumstances could be effectively into the billions, surroundings apart the related drop in inventory value and popularity harm.’

“Mr. Litzenburg additionally allegedly stated that ‘although you guys win circumstances and force price down,’ there used to be not going ‘any approach so that you can get out of it for not up to one billion bucks. And so, you already know, to me, uh, it is a fireplace sale value that you simply guys will have to imagine.’

“If the corporate paid up, Mr. Litzenburg allegedly stated he’d discourage others from submitting destiny court cases. To discourage plaintiffs, he’d even imagine taking part in a pre-trial deposition to which the corporate might deliver its personal toxicology professionals, ‘and we ask the mistaken questions,’ making a ‘transcript the place I principally were given whacked,’ Mr. Litzenburg allegedly stated in a recorded name. The transcript may well be ‘saved in a vault someplace to drag out if you happen to ever were given afflicted through anyone that didn’t know me or no matter,’ he stated, in keeping with the grievance.

“As a substitute of agreeing to Mr. Litzenburg’s alleged be offering, the corporate known as federal prosecutors”.

The editorial states that the topic didn’t reply to requests for remark, and his legal professional claims that paperwork may perhaps comprise inaccuracies. The editorial continues

“Mr. Litzenburg gets his day in court docket, yet all of the Roundup litigation is a stickup. The Environmental Coverage Company and world regulators have carried out intensive analysis and concluded that glyphosate, the lively element in Roundup, isn’t carcinogenic. That proof hasn’t stopped 3 juries from enforcing greater than $2.Four billion in consequences. Judges have lower the ones cumulative damages to a few $189 million, and the verdicts are being appealed. However Bayer faces Roundup court cases from some 42,700 plaintiffs.

“Mr. Litzenburg could have figured he might escape along with his alleged extortion as a result of he’s noticed first-hand the wear that junk-science litigation can do irrespective of the reality.”

The Week That Was once: 2019-12-28 (December 28, 2019)

Delivered to You through SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking

Quote of the Week: When requested, what he would inform a era dwelling 1,000 years from now, Bertrand Russell (1959) responded:

“I will have to like to mention two issues, one highbrow and one ethical:

“The highbrow factor I will have to wish to say to them is that this: If you find yourself finding out any topic or making an allowance for any philosophy, ask your self best what are the information and what’s the fact that the information endure out. By no means let your self be diverted both through what you want to consider or through what you suppose would have beneficent social results if it had been believed, yet glance best and only at what are the information. That’s the highbrow factor that I will have to want to say.” – Bertrand Russell (1959)

Choice of the Week: 3-Fold Build up in Fish

THIS WEEK:

By way of Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)

The Worst of Instances or The Perfect of Instances: In line with the United Countries, its supporting organizations, and lots of different organizations engaged in what they imagine to be science, we’re in a weather disaster, or weather emergency. The cries of youngsters that adults have robbed them in their destiny are repeated on supposedly rational boards and publications. The long run is dire and we will have to exchange our tactics or face extinction.

But through many goal requirements, this decade could be the most efficient, maximum filthy rich decade humanity skilled in recorded historical past. The diversities between what the UN and its supporters declare and what the information display are stark. Benefiting from the “lull” in information that happens over the vacations, this TWTW and the following will provide information supporting the statement that we live in the most efficient of instances in trendy historical past with fewer climate linked deaths, in keeping with capita, emphasised herein and different information on agriculture, prosperity, struggle, and so on. emphasised subsequent week.

In his essay, “We’ve simply had the most efficient decade in human historical past. Severely,” Matt Ridley discusses one of the most problems that can be offered. However he does now not speak about the explanations. Human creativeness can very much receive advantages humanity. Sadly, it may be perverse as effectively.

Most likely the best present of humanity to humanity is the clinical manner. Advanced over millennia in lots of cultures, it all started to succeed in nice fruition in western Europe within the 16th and 17th centuries and used to be followed through westernized international locations. The clinical manner has been implemented to many industries and actions, elevating the factors of dwelling a ways past subsistence farming. Additionally, the process gave upward thrust to horrific guns. For years, the clinical manner used to be known as western science.

One of the vital ultimate academics of the clinical manner in English used to be the Nobel co-laureate in physics Richard Feynman. He advised tales to make important issues. One such tale used to be of primitive Pacific Islanders watching the actions at a Global Warfare II touchdown strip and construction identical amenities out of picket and straw with hopes that airplanes would arrive bringing superb pieces. He known as this state of mind Shipment-Cult Science. The trimmings and logos of a science are not making a science.

In a well-known lecture offered on the 15th annual assembly of the Nationwide Science Academics Affiliation in 1966, Feynman gave his view of what science is. After an extended creation with tales he states:

“This phenomenon of getting a reminiscence for the [human] race, of getting an accrued wisdom satisfactory from one era to one other, used to be new on the earth–but it surely had a illness in it: it used to be imaginable to go on concepts which have been now not successful for the race. The race has concepts, yet they aren’t essentially successful.

“So, there got here a time by which the tips, even though accrued very slowly, had been all accumulations now not best of sensible and helpful issues, yet nice accumulations of all varieties of prejudices, and unusual and peculiar ideals.

“Then some way of keeping off the illness used to be came upon. That is to doubt that what’s being handed from the previous is in reality true, and to take a look at to determine ab initio [from the beginning] back from revel in what the location is, quite than trusting the revel in of the previous within the shape by which it’s handed down. And that’s what science is: the results of the invention that it’s profitable rechecking through new direct revel in, and now not essentially trusting the [human] race[’s] revel in from the previous. I see it that approach. This is my ultimate definition.”

[Remark: The primary [human], [from the beginning], and boldface had been added through TWTW.]

It’s the consistent want to recheck quite than believe previous ideals this is giving upward thrust to a really perfect disparity between the UN science with its interpretation of the arena, and what many unbiased critics of UN science state is happening on the earth. The UN paintings is constructed on a science this is being old-fashioned through observations during the last 40 years. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and In the hunt for a Commonplace Flooring.

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Contradicting a Local weather Disaster – Our Global in Information: As mentioned on its site, the unbiased group Our Global in Information gifts information to handle:

“Poverty, illness, starvation, weather exchange, struggle, existential dangers, and inequality: The arena faces many nice and terrifying issues on the identical time. It’s those huge issues that our paintings at Our Global in Information specializes in.

“The arena has the sources to do significantly better. And due to the paintings of hundreds of researchers around the globe who devote their lives to finding out the arena’s biggest issues we frequently have a just right working out of them. However we consider key explanation why we fail to succeed in the growth we’re able to is that we are not making sufficient use of this current analysis and information: the essential wisdom is frequently saved in inaccessible databases, locked away in the back of paywalls and buried underneath jargon in instructional papers.

“The function of our paintings is to make the information at the huge issues available and comprehensible. As we are saying on our homepage, Our Global in Information is ready Analysis and information to make growth in opposition to the arena’s biggest issues.”

The site additionally provides its primary supporters to incorporate the Invoice and Melinda Gates Basis, German businesswoman Susanne Klatten, and the London-based Nuffield Basis (2015 & 16). A bunch of different sponsors and donors is indexed. In 2014, unbiased researchers Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser posted their intensive paintings on Herbal Failures site of Our Global in Information. In November 2019 this paintings used to be revised. The abstract states:

· Herbal failures kill on reasonable 60,000 folks in keeping with yr, globally.

· Globally, failures had been chargeable for zero.1% of deaths during the last decade. This used to be extremely variable, starting from zero.01% to zero.Four%.

· Deaths from pure failures have noticed a big decline during the last century – from, in some years, hundreds of thousands of deaths in keeping with yr to a median of 60,000 during the last decade.

· Traditionally, droughts and floods had been probably the most deadly crisis occasions. Deaths from those occasions are actually very low – probably the most fatal occasions lately have a tendency to be earthquakes.

· Failures have an effect on the ones in poverty maximum closely: excessive dying tolls have a tendency to be focused in low-to-middle source of revenue international locations with out the infrastructure to offer protection to and reply to occasions.

Beneath the precise heading of Annual deaths from pure failures the authors state:

“Within the visualization proven right here we see the long-term world fashion in pure crisis deaths. This displays the estimated annual selection of deaths from failures from 1900 onwards from the EMDAT Global Crisis Database.1

“What we see is that within the early-to-mid 20th century, the yearly dying toll from failures used to be excessive, frequently achieving over a million in keeping with yr. In fresh a long time we have now noticed a considerable decline in deaths. In maximum years fewer than 20,000 die (and in the latest decade, this has frequently been not up to 10,000). Even in top years with high-impact occasions, the dying toll has now not exceeded 500,000 for the reason that mid-1960s.

“This decline is much more spectacular after we imagine the velocity of inhabitants enlargement over this era. After we proper for inhabitants – appearing this knowledge in relation to dying charges (measured in keeping with 100,000 folks) – we see a fair higher decline during the last century. This chart will also be seen right here. [Chart not shown in TWTW but shown on the website.]

“The once a year selection of deaths from pure failures could also be to be had through nation since 1990. This will also be explored within the interactive map.”

Those findings without delay contradict the claims of a weather disaster or weather emergency through the UN and its supporters. Very merely, in spite of will increase in inhabitants, dying tolls from pure failures aren’t expanding. Claims of human motive are inappropriate. Loss of life tolls have fallen tremendously, due to quite a few causes together with higher resilience which is able to end result from higher prosperity. The authors give more than one units of information for america and the Globe for climate occasions corresponding to Flood, Wind, Warmth, Chilly, Climate occasions, and so on. The claims of the UN and its supporters don’t get up to research.

Additional, the International Tropical Cyclone Process displays no build up in frequency and accrued calories all through its whole dataset from 1971 to November 30, 2019. The claims of weather disaster are false. See hyperlinks underneath In the hunt for a Commonplace Flooring.

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UN Fables No longer Information: The UN has created a parody, a mockery, of the clinical manner through difficult exact values for obscure ideas it has created and through substituting fables for information. The transparent factor is what’s going to occur to temperatures with a doubling of carbon dioxide? The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Alternate (IPCC) promotes the values within the 1979 Charney Document, asserted through US weather modelers with none supporting proof. The laboratory result of a modest warming within the vary of about 1 ºC (about 2 ºF) had been very much amplified through presumed will increase in probably the most vital greenhouse gasoline – water vapor. There used to be no experimental or observational proof introduced to beef up the declare – best speculative calculations that could be faulty.

With out addressing the core query, what’s going to occur if CO2 doubles, the UN IPCC specializes in providing more than a few eventualities, storylines or fables, on what may perhaps occur as international locations build up CO2 emissions. Thus, a lot of the dialogue is on which fantasy is much more likely to occur?

Feedbacks and equilibrium weather sensitivity and also are mishandled and assigned values which can be speculative. There is also quite a few sure or unfavorable feedbacks. However those want to be demonstrated through experiment on atmospheric gases or through atmospheric observations. They have got now not been convincingly demonstrated.

As mentioned in final week’s TWTW, in his new paper Richard Lindzen addressed the essential factor of the temperature distinction between the equator and the polar areas all through the final foremost ice age and the final foremost heat length. The temperatures within the tropics didn’t exchange a lot from the chilly technology to the nice and cozy technology. Thus, we will have to now not be expecting a powerful tropical “sizzling spot” all through the present warming. Observational proof of temperature developments display one isn’t going on, thus a powerful sure comments from water vapor isn’t going on. The USA fashions have now not been adjusted to mirror the absence of a powerful sure comments which, in 1979, america modelers insisted existed, yet by no means demonstrated.

In a similar way, the UN IPCC idea of an equilibrium weather sensitivity has little which means. The earth hasn’t ever been in weather equilibrium, with the exception of for faulty mathematical simulations of the earth’s weather corresponding to gave the impression within the notorious “hockey-stick.” One might argue that on the top of an ice age or top of a heat length the earth is at a weather equilibrium, yet that will be temporarily debunked through those that acknowledge the Milankovitch cycles, mentioned in final week’s TWTW.

In Local weather And many others. former weather modeler Judith Curry discusses what hurt is there in spotting that the important thing factor is how a lot warming will happen from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) from lately? The query is: what’s essential for humanity now? Thus, making the UN claims of warming from the 1880s frivolous. She additionally posts a counter argument to her place through a defender of the UN place. Within the Curry submit and the counter argument a brand new idea is offered: TCRE, brief weather reaction to cumulative carbon emissions, i.e., the connection between temperatures and cumulative emissions.

The TCRE idea seems to have little price. If the present stages of atmospheric CO2 aren’t inflicting vital warming of the ambience, why introduce new ideas that avoids the singular problems? How a lot atmospheric warming is happening from CO2 lately? Secondly, how a lot will happen with a doubling of CO2? Sure, there’s uncertainty in regards to the weather within the overdue a part of this century.

However we don’t perceive the pure reasons of weather exchange and they’re extra vital than human emitted greenhouse gases. We can’t are expecting subsequent month’s climate, why be expecting extra exact predictions for 80 years from now? See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and Protecting the Orthodoxy.

**********************

Situations: Within the first of 2 portions, Roger Pielke Jr. describes how the usage of eventualities has been distorted through the weather science neighborhood. He states:

“Situations of the longer term have lengthy sat on the heart of discussions of weather science, affects and adaptation and mitigation insurance policies. Situation making plans has an extended historical past and will also be traced to the RAND Company all through Global Warfare 2 and, later (mockingly sufficient) Shell, a fossil gasoline corporate. Situations aren’t meant to be forecasts of the longer term, yet quite to function an alternative choice to forecasting. Situations supply an outline of imaginable futures contingent upon more than a few elements, only a few of which could be underneath the management of resolution makers.”

Sadly, the IPCC gifts eventualities, which will also be known as fables, as believable results, with the worst going on if the international locations of the arena don’t post to UN management of CO2 emissions. The UN has no management of pure variability, and the IPCC ignores it. See hyperlink underneath Science, Coverage, and Proof.

**********************

Power Poverty: Writing in Actual Transparent Power, Katie Tahauha of the Texas Public Coverage Basis addresses unlucky new phrases decided on through two English dictionaries. She states:

“It’s that point of yr. As New 12 months’s Eve approaches, we glance again on 2019 looking for nuggets of knowledge from twelve extra months of the human revel in. Sadly, the Phrase of the 12 months picks from two height dictionaries disclose simply how out of place this yr’s priorities had been.

“The Oxford English Dictionary decided on ‘weather disaster’ because the time period that ‘displays the ethos, temper, or preoccupations of the passing yr.’ Placing a in a similar way dismal word, Dictionary.com’s variety used to be ‘existential.’

“A greater phrase of the yr for 2019? Power poverty.”

She is going directly to state:

“Even family chores pose a danger with out calories. Just about Four million perish yearly from preventable lung and middle illness brought about through breathing in soot when cooking over an indoor fireplace. The pure gasoline or electrical stoves we take without any consideration would actually save lives in creating international locations.”

TWTW may perhaps disagree with the dimensions of the estimates of those that die from preventable lung and middle illness from indoor fires yet consents that indoor cooking and heating fires are preventable fitness threats. See hyperlinks underneath Wondering the Orthodoxy.

**********************

Choice of the Week: 3-Fold Build up in Fish. Since 2010, researchers at Southern Move College were finding out the affect of the very salty discharge from a desalination plant close to Sydney, together with classes when the plant briefly ceased operations. The lead researcher mentioned:

“’There used to be a 279 in keeping with cent build up in fish existence. It’s crucial end result, as large-scale desalination is turning into an integral part of future-proofing the water provides of foremost towns, corresponding to Sydney, Perth, and Melbourne’ Professor Kelaher stated.”

The paper’s summary states:

“At 12 instances sooner than, 8 instances all through, and 4 instances following the cessation of discharging hypersaline brine, we sampled reef fishes at two outlet websites and two shut reference websites, in addition to 4 reference websites that had been positioned from 2–eight km from the hole. At every website online and every time of sampling, 5 50 m video transects had been used to pattern reef fish assemblages. Following the graduation of discharging, there used to be a 279% build up within the abundance of fish across the outlet, which integrated considerably higher abundances of pelagic and demersal fish, in addition to fishes focused through leisure and business fishers. Following the cessation of discharge, abundances of fishes most commonly returned to stages such that there used to be not an important impact in comparison to the length previous to the graduation of the desalination plant’s operations. Total, our effects exhibit that well-designed marine infrastructure and processes used to beef up the rising call for for potable water too can fortify native fish abundances and species richness.”

If such will increase in fish inhabitants are showed through research of different discharges from desalination crops, then the inside track is very sure. Desalination has transform sensible, reasonably priced, choice to groundwater pumping in coastal spaces the place land subsidence has transform an issue, such because the Tidewater area of Virginia. [There is some issue about terminology: is a 279 per cent increase an almost threefold increase or an almost fourfold increase?] See hyperlinks underneath Different Information that Would possibly Be of Hobby

NEWS YOU CAN USE:

Statement: Is the Solar Emerging?

Opposite Polarity Sunspots seem at the Solar – finishing a 39 day stretch of spotless days

By way of Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 24, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/24/reverse-polarity-sunspots-appear-on-the-sun-ending-a-39-day-stretch-of-spotless-days/

Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Bodily Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), 2013

https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-II/CCR-II-Complete.pdf

Abstract: http://www.nipccreport.org/stories/ccr2a/pdf/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Organic Affects

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By way of More than one Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate, April 2019

http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Obtain without a price:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Local weather-Alternate-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Quantity-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming

The NIPCC Document at the Medical Consensus

By way of Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Obtain without a price:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, No longer Human Process, Regulations the Local weather

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

International Sea-Degree Upward push: An Analysis of the Information

By way of Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Would possibly 20, 2019

https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/publications/SeaLevelRiseCCRII.pdf

Difficult the Orthodoxy

Three levels C?

By way of Judith Curry, Local weather And many others. Dec 23, 2019

https://judithcurry.com/2019/12/23/Three-degrees-c/#more-25553

Activists Don’t Be successful, However Take a look at, Take a look at Once more on Local weather Attribution Science,

By way of Spencer Walrath, Power in Intensity, Dec 19, 2019

https://eidclimate.org/activists-dont-succeed-but-try-try-again-on-climate-attribution-science/

Hyperlink to paper: Attributing ocean acidification to foremost carbon manufacturers

By way of R. Linker, et al. Environmental Analysis Letters, Dec 11, 2019

https://www.ucsusa.org/websites/default/information/2019-12/Environmental%20Analysis%20Letters%20e-newsletter.pdf

We’ve simply had the most efficient decade in human historical past. Severely

By way of Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist, Dec 21, 2019

http://www.rationaloptimist.com/weblog/best-decade-in-history/

On Local weather Sensitivity

By way of Richard Lindzen, with Evaluate The aid of Roy Spencer, CO2 Coalition, 2019

http://co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Lindzen_On-Local weather-Sensitivity.pdf

Failed Serial Doomcasting

By way of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/27/failed-serial-doomcasting/

The Laughable Lust for Seriousness

By way of Tim Blair, Quadrant, AU, Dec 27, 2019

https://quadrant.org.au/mag/2019/12/the-laughable-lust-for-seriousness/

“The lust for seriousness is probably the most craven of vices. And it ends up in the worst results. Over many a long time, as an example, generations of very critical folks—state and federal politicians, most commonly—have sat round and thought to be how ultimate to control Australia’s calories desires. They took cautious inventory of our considerable provides of coal, our monumental gasoline reserves and our massive uranium deposits. They carried out critical research, they consulted critical professionals they usually labored critical hours.

“After which they delivered a machine that fees a number of the best calories costs on earth.”

Protecting the Orthodoxy

5 causes COP25 weather talks failed

By way of Marlowe Hood, AFP, Dec 25, 2019

http://www.terradaily.com/stories/Five_reasons_COP25_climate_talks_failed_999.html

“A number of the almost 30,000 diplomats, professionals, activists and reporters accepted to wait the summit had been masses of high-octane fossil gasoline lobbyists.

“They’re jointly the elephant within the room: we all know what reasons weather exchange but it surely is thought of as impolitic inside the UN weather bubble to indicate palms.”

[SEPP Comment: What caused the ending of ice ages?]

Two extra levels through 2100!

By way of Vaughan Pratt, Local weather And many others. Dec 27, 2019

https://judithcurry.com/2019/12/27/two-more-degrees-by-2100/#more-25576

Wondering the Orthodoxy

A Higher Phrase of the 12 months for 2019: Power Poverty

By way of Katie Tahuahua, Actual Transparent Power, Dec 20, 2019

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/12/20/a_better_word_of_the_year_for_2019_energy_poverty_110503.html

Find out about: No Discernible Hyperlink From CO2 Forcing To Local weather For 97% Of The Remaining 425 Million Years

By way of Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 23, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/23/study-no-discernible-link-from-co2-forcing-to-climate-for-97-of-the-last-425-million-years/

A Determined Lack Of Equilibrium

By way of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 26, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/26/a-decided-lack-of-equilibrium/

350 Papers Printed Since 2017 Subvert The Declare That Put up-1850s Warming Has Been Abnormal, International

By way of Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 26, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/26/350-papers-published-since-2017-subvert-the-claim-that-post-1850s-warming-has-been-unusual-global/

Bushfires and Local weather Alternate: No Hyperlink In any way

By way of James Jeffery, Quadrant, AU, Dec 26, 2019

https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2019/12/bushfires-and-climate-change-no-link-whatsoever/

After Paris!

A yr of useless weather insanity looms

By way of David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 26, 2019

https://www.cfact.org/2019/12/26/a-year-of-ineffective-climate-madness-looms/

“Politicians promising the inconceivable, to be delivered within the a ways far-off destiny, do no hurt. Therefore their recognition.”

The Actual Global Intrudes at the UN Local weather Convention

By way of William R. Hawkins, American Philosopher, Dec 24, 2019

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2019/12/the_real_world_intrudes_on_the_un_climate_conference.html

UN’s Madrid Local weather Conferences Produce Web-0 Advantages

By way of Larry Bell, Newsmax, Dec 23, 2019

https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/madrid-ipcc-maldives-sea-levels/2019/12/23/identity/947056/

Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide

Main Evolutionary Biologist Says “CO2 Is A Blessing”, Rejects Cult-Like “Earth Warmth Loss of life” Claims

German evolutionary biologist and physiologist Prof. Dr. Ulrich Kutschera advised in an interview that “CO2 is a blessing for mankind” and that the claimed “97% consensus” amongst scientists is “a fable”

By way of P Gosselin, from Die kalte Sonne, By the use of No Methods Zone, Dec 22, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/22/leading-evolutionary-biologist-says-co2-is-a-blessing-rejects-cult-like-earth-heat-death-claims/

In the hunt for a Commonplace Flooring

What Is Science?

By way of Richard Feynman, Nationwide Science Academics Affiliation, 1966

http://www.feynman.com/science/what-is-science/

Herbal Failures

By way of Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser, Our Global in Information, November 2019

https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters

International Tropical Cyclone Process

By way of Ryan N. Maue, Local weather Atlas, Dec 29, 2019]

http://climatlas.com/tropical/

Science, Coverage, and Proof

In 2020 Local weather Science Wishes To Hit The Reset Button, Section One

By way of Roger Pielke, Forbes, Dec 22, 2019 [Jeff Reynolds]

https://www.forbes.com/websites/rogerpielke/2019/12/22/in-2020-climate-science-needs-to-hit-the-reset-button-part-one/#7cb54a92482c

Size Problems — Floor

Lifeless Dingoes Don’t Lie, However Local weather Scientists Do

By way of Tony Heller, Actual Local weather Science, Dec 26, 2019

https://realclimatescience.com/2019/12/dead-dingoes-dont-lie-but-climate-scientists-do/

“Not one of the claims being made about listing warmth or fires are credible, yet this is usual working process for weather scientists.”

Converting Climate

Provisional US Twister Stats–Any other 12 months With out An EF-Five

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 27, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/27/provisional-us-tornado-stats-another-year-without-an-ef-Five/

From arctic blasts to warmth waves, this yr’s climate broke greater than 120,000 data in america

By way of Christina Walker, CNN, Dec 24, 2019

https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/23/us/2019-us-weather-records-trnd/index.html

The Previous Polar Vortex

By way of Tony Heller, Actual Local weather Science, Dec 26, 2019

https://realclimatescience.com/2019/12/the-old-polar-vortex/

Converting Seas

What Can You See, Indicating Sea Ranges are Emerging?

By way of Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Dec 28, 109

https://jennifermarohasy.com/2019/12/what-can-you-see-indicating-sea-levels-are-rising/

Widespread Outer Banks island lower aside through Storm Dorian is reforming and rising

By way of Mark Value, Information & Observer, Dec 20, 2019 [H/t Bill Balgord]

https://www.newsobserver.com/information/native/article238588758.html

Converting Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Dec. 22 Arctic Ice Just about Customary

By way of Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 23, 2019

https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2019/12/23/dec-22-arctic-ice-nearly-normal/

Too A lot Snow For Rudolf!

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 26, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/26/too-much-snow-for-rudolf/

Converting Earth

Scientists in finding massive meteor crater in northeast China

By way of Personnel Writers, Harbin, China (XNA), Dec 27, 2019

http://www.spacedaily.com/stories/Scientists_find_huge_meteor_crater_in_northeast_China_999.html

Decreasing Requirements

“The Lancet” on Well being and Local weather Alternate: A Story of Editorial Bias

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 23, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/23/the-lancet-on-health-and-climate-change-a-tale-of-editorial-bias/#more-42752

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?

Local weather Alternate to make Boxing Day cricket extinct. ABC and Monash make historical past extinct.

By way of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 27, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/12/climate-change-to-make-boxing-day-cricket-extinct-abc-makes-history-extinct/

Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?

Bloomberg: RCP8.Five Local weather Disaster is Not likely – On account of Affordable Renewables

By way of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 25, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/25/bloomberg-rcp8-Five-climate-catastrophe-is-unlikely-because-of-cheap-renewables/

Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.

FT: Low Hobby Charges are an Alternative to Spend Large on Renewable Power

By way of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/27/ft-low-interest-rates-are-an-opportunity-to-spend-big-on-renewable-energy/

Find out about Displays How Air pollution, Local weather Alternate May Make Us Dumber

By way of Bruce Y. Lee, Forbes, Dec 22, 2019

https://www.forbes.com/websites/brucelee/2019/12/22/study-shows-how-pollution-climate-change-could-make-us-dumber/#329367533a96

“I’m a author, journalist, professor, techniques modeler, computational and virtual fitness knowledgeable, avocado-eater, and entrepreneur, now not all the time in that order.”

“For the paper, Kristopher Karnauskas and Shelly Miller from the College of Colorado and Anna Schapiro from the College of Pennsylvania discovered research that confirmed the connection between CO2 stages and considering skill and created a predictive type of what would possibly occur through the years, giving present developments in fossil gasoline pollutants.”

[SEPP Comment: The Navy and NASA have extensive studies on the relationship between CO2 and thinking ability. Did the modelers use these studies?]

Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?

Chemophobia: Just about 40% Of Europeans Need A Chemical-Unfastened Global

By way of Alex Berezow, ACSH, Dec 18, 2019

https://www.acsh.org/information/2019/12/18/chemophobia-nearly-40-europeans-want-chemical-free-world-14465

“A brand new be taught unearths that just about 40% of Europeans wish to ‘reside in an international the place chemical compounds don’t exist.’ Any other 82% didn’t know that desk salt is desk salt, if it is extracted from the sea or made synthetically.”

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters

“I don’t wish to die!” Local weather Exploitation of Youngsters

By way of Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 23, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/23/i-dont-want-to-die-climate-exploitation-of-children/

Video through Buddies of Science

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Youngsters for Propaganda

Greta The Film

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 23, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/23/greta-the-movie/#more-42746

[SEPP Comment: Greta’s comment “We’ve had enough” followed by a long pause should be directed to those who are shamelessly using her for propaganda.]

Wondering Inexperienced Somewhere else

Inexperienced ideology, now not weather exchange, makes bushfires worse

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 24, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/24/green-ideology-not-climate-change-makes-bushfires-worse/

[SEPP Comment: According to the Volunteer Fire Fighters Association of New South Wales.]

2019 Wildfires burn 20 instances as a lot land as controlled gasoline discount in NSW (thus far)

By way of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 22, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/12/2019-wildfires-burn-20-times-as-much-land-as-managed-fuel-reduction-in-nsw/

Local weather exchange and bushfires — Extra rain, the similar droughts, no fashion, no science

By way of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 24, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/12/climate-change-and-bushfires-more-rain-the-same-droughts-no-trend-no-science/

[SEPP Comment: The graph comparing 67 years of areas of prescribed burns and bushfires is telling.]

Are Australian Wildfires Due To Local weather Alternate?

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 24, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/24/are-australian-wildfires-due-to-climate-change/

Litigation Problems

Exxon and Proof 101

By way of John S. Baker, Jr. Actual Transparent Power, Dec 20, 2019

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/12/20/exxon_and_evidence_101_110502.html

“The issue for most of these legal professionals normal is that states haven’t any jurisdiction over weather exchange. No matter one thinks about weather exchange, the climatic phenomena know no borders. If anything else will have to be accomplished about weather exchange, it’s correctly dedicated to the government.”

[SEPP Comment: Why should lack of jurisdiction stop an ambitious AG?]

Court docket orders EPA to put in writing temperature management plans for Columbia, Snake

By way of George Plaven, Capital Press, Dec 27, 2019 [H/t Ken Schlichte]

https://www.capitalpress.com/ag_sectors/water/court-orders-epa-to-write-temperature-control-plans-for-columbia/article_546fbc56-2810-11ea-ab49-f7acc454b367.html

“The ruling through the ninth U.S. Circuit Court docket of Appeals is more likely to accentuate the continued debate over breaching 4 Decrease Snake River dams in Jap Washington to extend salmon and steelhead runs.”

[SEPP Comment: Maybe the court will order plans for rainfall!]

It Would possibly Have Simply Gotten A Lot More uncomplicated To Sue Exxon And Shell For Local weather Alternate Devastation

A brand new investigation supplies probably the most “tough” proof but connecting fossil gasoline agencies to climate-related human rights violations, criminal professionals say.

By way of Kyla Mandel, HuffPost, Dec 12, 2019

https://www.huffpost.com/access/philippines-commission-on-human-rights-fossil-fuel-companies-liable-climate-change_n_5df1698de4b01e0f29597ad8

“Over the past 3 years, the Philippines Fee on Human Rights (CHR) has been amassing proof on whether or not massive oil, coal, gasoline and mining agencies — corresponding to Shell, Chevron and Exxon — will also be held responsible for the human struggling brought about through weather exchange.”

Cap-and-Industry and Carbon Taxes

AEP’s Carbon Tax Myth

By way of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 27, 2019

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/12/27/aeps-carbon-tax-fantasy/

The Carbon Tax: the Large Town ‘Incentivizes’ Rural Vermonters

By way of John Klar, American Philosopher, Dec 26, 2019

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2019/12/the_carbon_tax_the_big_city_incentivizes_rural_vermonters.html

[SEPP Comment: In Vermont, imaginative slogans replace analysis?]

Subsidies and Mandates Endlessly

Congress Says Nay to Increasing EV Tax Credit

By way of Matt Posky, The Fact About Automobiles, Dec 23, 2019 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2019/12/congress-says-nay-to-expanding-ev-tax-credits/

“President Donald Trump used to be additionally imagined to were in opposition to increasing EV credit, in keeping with Senator Debbie Stabenow (D-MI). ‘There was excessive resistance from the president,’ she advised Bloomberg final week. ‘I don’t know why the White Space would wish to forestall jobs and the way forward for the car .’”

[SEPP Comment: If EVs are the future, why do they need subsidies?]

Power Problems – Non-US

International Herbal Fuel Electrical energy Is Gaining On Coal

By way of Jude Clemente, Forbes, Dec 15, 2019

https://www.forbes.com/websites/judeclemente/2019/12/15/global-natural-gas-electricity-is-gaining-on-coal/#7b8951477bfd

Gazprom Makes Ukraine Deal as U.S. Sanctions Russia Pipeline

By way of Mathew Carr, Olga Tanas, Dina Khrennikova, and Daniel Flatley, Bloomberg, Dec 21, 2019

https://www.bloomberg.com/information/articles/2019-12-21/americasanctions-may-push-russia-to-sign-a-gas-deal-with-ukraine

Norway Names Arguable Local weather Alternate Skeptic As New Oil Minister

By way of Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Value.com, Dec 18, 2019

https://oilprice.com/Newest-Power-Information/Global-Information/Norway-Names-Arguable-Local weather-Alternate-Skeptic-As-New-Oil-Minister.html

Power Problems — US

Four Issues To Know About The N.H. Coal Plant Centered By way of Local weather Protesters

By way of Annie Ropeik, Ne Hampshire Public Radio, Dec 19, 2019

https://www.nhpr.org/submit/Four-things-know-about-nh-coal-plant-targeted-climate-protesters#circulate/zero

Oil and Herbal Fuel – the Long run or the Previous?

Chevron’s $10B Impairment: “one other symptom of top oil call for and the dying of the oil ”?

By way of David Middleton, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/27/chevrons-10b-impairment-another-symptom-of-peak-oil-demand-and-the-demise-of-the-oil-industry/

The Perfect And Worst Oil Predictions Of 2019

By way of Julianne Geiger, Oil Value.com, Dec 15, 2019

https://oilprice.com/Power/Oil-Costs/The-Perfect-And-Worst-Oil-Predictions-Of-2019.html

Nuclear Power and Fears

Russia’s New Floating Nuclear Energy Plant Starts Turning in Electrical energy To The Arctic

By way of Tyler Durden, 0 Hedge, Dec 24, 2019 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russias-new-floating-nuke-power-plant-begins-delivering-electricity

Most sensible 6 Nuclear Energy Achievements of the 12 months

By way of Aaron Larson, Energy Magazine, Dec 2, 2019

https://www.powermag.com/top-6-nuclear-power-achievements-of-the-year/

Selection, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Sun and Wind

Wind, photo voltaic face destiny with out subsidies

By way of James Osborne, Houston Chronical, By the use of GWPF, Dec 26, 2019

https://www.thegwpf.com/americacongress-abolishes-subsidies-for-wind-solar-energy/

Power & Environmental E-newsletter: December 23, 2019

By way of John Droz, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 23, 2019

https://www.masterresource.org/alliance-for-wise-energy-decisions/energy-environmental-newsletter-12-23-2019/

Selection, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Cars

German Professor Of Mechanical Engineering Says Electrical Mobility “A Unnecessary Dream”…”Will By no means Paintings”

By way of P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 25, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/12/25/german-professor-of-mechanical-engineering-says-electric-mobility-a-pointless-dream-will-never-work/

Police Wasted £1.Five Million on electrical Automobiles That Can’t Chase Criminals

By way of Kurt Zindulka, Breitbart, Dec 26, 2019 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2019/12/26/uk-police-wasted-million-electric-cars-cant-catch-criminals/

California Dreaming

California within the age of wildfires: Residing within the state of denial

“It’s most likely going to take extra folks loss of life, or shedding their properties and getting displaced, sooner than folks notice this case isn’t going to depart”

By way of Daphne White, San Francisco Curbed, Dec 27, 2019 [H/t Bob Zybach]

https://sf.curbed.com/2019/12/27/21039413/california-fire-wildfire-crisis-decade

[SEPP Comment: California’s “Age of Wildfires” is an entirely artificial construct created by government policies. A better term could be an “Age of Fueling Wildfires” by incompetent governments.]

Rainy Years, Dry Years

By way of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 25, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/12/25/wet-years-dry-years/

Well being, Power, and Local weather

Gretins wish to ban bronchial asthma inhalers

By way of Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, Dec 22, 2019

https://motls.blogspot.com/2019/12/gretins-want-to-ban-asthma-inhalers.html#extra

“Bronchial asthma carbon footprint ‘as huge as consuming meat’”

Environmental Business

Are BPA Alarmists Beating A Lifeless Molecule?

By way of Josh Bloom, ACSH, Dec 18, 2019

https://www.acsh.org/information/2019/12/18/are-bpa-alarmists-beating-dead-molecule-14464

Different Medical Information

385-million-year-old tree root unearths international’s oldest trendy woodland

By way of Brooks Hays, Washington (UPI), Dec 20, 2019

http://www.terradaily.com/stories/385-million-year-old_tree_root_reveals_worlds_oldest_modern_forest_999.html

Different Information that Would possibly Be of Hobby

Sydney’s desalination discharge boosts fish existence in time of weather uncertainty

Press Unencumber through Southern Move College, Dec 19, 2019

https://www.scu.edu.au/interact/information/latest-news/2019/sydneys-desalination-discharge-boosts-fish-life-in-time-of-climate-uncertainty.php

Hyperlink to paper: Impact of Desalination Discharge at the Abundance and Variety of Reef Fishes

By way of Brendan P. Kelaher, et al. Environmental Science Generation, Dec 18, 2019

https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.est.9b03565

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

Eco-builders are clutching at straws

Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 23, 2019

Eco-builders are clutching at straws

[SEPP Comment: Links to an article in The Times (UK) of people building new homes using bales of straw. Will it work in California or Australia?]

The Emmas! Primary New Eco-Awards Named After Emma Thompson

Press Unencumber, GWPF, Dec 21, 2019

https://www.thegwpf.com/the-emmas-major-new-eco-awards-named-after-emma-thompson/

ARTICLES

1. PG&E: Stressed out to Fail

The application has sparked fatal fires and pipeline explosions, left hundreds of thousands of Californians at nighttime and long past bankrupt two times in not up to 15 years. Right here’s what went mistaken.

By way of Russell Gold, Rebecca Smith and Katherine Blunt, WSJ, Dec 28, 2019

https://www.wsj.com/articles/pg-e-wired-to-fail-11577509261?mod=hp_lead_pos1

TWTW Abstract: The journalists write:

“PG&E Corp. Leader Government Tony Earley preferred the theory the minute he heard it. He would exchange the signature line on corporate emails —’PG&E is dedicated to protective our shoppers’ privateness’— to advertise protection as an alternative.

“Six months after a height state regulator recommended it, not anything had took place.

“‘We’ve yet one more degree of governance to move thru sooner than we will exchange,’ Jack Hagan, the regulator, recalled Mr. Earley announcing.

“‘I stated, ‘You’ve were given to be kidding me.’ He couldn’t get it accomplished.’

“For the previous 15 years, PG&E has plotted a spherical travel from one chapter to one other. In between, it navigated the aftermath of a catastrophic natural-gas pipeline explosion and a sequence of increasingly more difficult green-energy mandates from state regulators.

“Managing that push and pull would have challenged any corporate. It proved to be particularly difficult for a plodding application present process control upheaval, closely regulated and saddled with growing old, disregarded apparatus.

“Executives had been so centered at the previous and the longer term that the existing sneaked up on them. PG&E’s electrical strains, after years of deferred repairs, had been threatening drought-parched California. When the Camp Fireplace began to burn in overdue 2018, in the end killing 85 folks, it used to be the primary of 4 fires that PG&E reported it sparked that day. It used to be its 408th of 2018, and the 1,961st since record-keeping began in mid-2014.

“Hundreds of pages of paperwork and rankings of interviews display Mr. Earley, just like the CEO sooner than him and the one that adopted him, struggled to persuade the send. One attempted to reimagine the corporate. When that failed, the following one worked to go back to the fundamentals of safely turning in chronic. The final used to be left to stand the results.

“‘We recognize that we’ve fallen quick previously, too again and again with tragic penalties,’ PG&E stated in a written remark, including that it has made many wanted adjustments in workforce and practices. ‘We all know we have now a lot more paintings to do to satisfy the problem of safely offering electrical provider in a modified and converting weather.’”

Skipping over many efforts through corporate executives the account brings up crucial level on renewable calories:

“California Regulators saved up the power to satisfy the state’s competitive renewable calories targets.

“By way of 2012, PG&E used to be spending greater than $1.2 billion a yr to satisfy the objectives, greater than double what it spent in 2003, in keeping with PG&E filings, and it used to be projected to height $2 billion through 2015. Mr. Peevey, the utilities fee head, addressed fear that Californians confronted a ‘fee bomb’ because the offers kicked in.

“‘There is not any unfastened lunch right here,’ he advised state senators, explaining that the contracts, although pricey, had been making California an calories chief, and prices for destiny initiatives would fall.

“By way of 2015, the state discovered PG&E used to be paying a median of 12 cents a kilowatt hour for renewable electrical energy. 4 years previous, it paid not up to eight cents.

In line with an accompanying chart, in 2012, when PG&E used to be spending $1.2 billion on renewable objectives, it spent $zero.47 billion on electrical repairs and $zero.32 billion on gasoline repairs.

[TWTW Comment: This report is a decades-long account on the inability of PG&E to satisfy all its masters, including its stock and bond holders, regulators, politicians etc. But the reporters fail to mention that the ultimate master, those to whom the Constitution of the State of California grants final power, is the State Legislature.]

**********************

2. The Roundup Stickup

A tribulation legal professional allegedly argued it’s inexpensive to be extorted than sued.

Editorial, WSJ, Dec 25, 2019

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-roundup-stickup-11577299381?mod=opinion_lead_pos2

TWTW Abstract: The editorial states:

“Tort attorneys frequently use the specter of jackpot verdicts to extort settlements from trade objectives. But if does a shakedown transform legal extortion? Remaining week the government charged Timothy Litzenburg for allegedly crossing that criminal line.

“Mr. Litzenburg, 37, made a reputation for himself on the Miller Company in Virginia, the place he used to be a part of a workforce suing Bayer on behalf of a groundskeeper who stated the weed killer Roundup brought about his most cancers. Trial attorneys benefit through taking a hefty chew of a agreement or damages. But if Mr. Litzenburg opened his personal legislation company final yr, he allegedly had a distinct trade type in thoughts.

“The feds say the extortion plot started in September when Mr. Litzenburg despatched a draft grievance to ‘Corporate 1,’ known through the Wall Side road Magazine as Amsterdam-based chemical maker Nouryon. The legal professional stated the corporate had created chemical substances utilized in Roundup and ‘knew of the carcinogenic houses of those chemical substances yet did not warn’ customers in regards to the dangers, the federal grievance says.

“Mr. Litzenburg allegedly adopted up his draft lawsuit danger with an be offering, which he repeated in emails and recorded telephone calls. The corporate might pay the plaintiff $Five million, input right into a $200 million ‘consulting association’ with him and his pals, and steer clear of what Mr. Litzenburg allegedly described as ‘the parade of horribles that has been the Roundup litigation for Bayer/Monsanto.’

“‘Any other factor I will ensure and warrant: within the absence of a so-called ‘world’ or ultimate take care of me, this may increasingly no doubt balloon into an existential danger’ to the corporate, Mr. Litzenburg allegedly wrote in an e-mail. The federal grievance says he warned that ‘protection prices and value to in the long run get to the bottom of the hundreds or tens of hundreds of circumstances could be effectively into the billions, surroundings apart the related drop in inventory value and popularity harm.’

“Mr. Litzenburg additionally allegedly stated that ‘although you guys win circumstances and force price down,’ there used to be not going ‘any approach so that you can get out of it for not up to one billion bucks. And so, you already know, to me, uh, it is a fireplace sale value that you simply guys will have to imagine.’

“If the corporate paid up, Mr. Litzenburg allegedly stated he’d discourage others from submitting destiny court cases. To discourage plaintiffs, he’d even imagine taking part in a pre-trial deposition to which the corporate might deliver its personal toxicology professionals, ‘and we ask the mistaken questions,’ making a ‘transcript the place I principally were given whacked,’ Mr. Litzenburg allegedly stated in a recorded name. The transcript may well be ‘saved in a vault someplace to drag out if you happen to ever were given afflicted through anyone that didn’t know me or no matter,’ he stated, in keeping with the grievance.

“As a substitute of agreeing to Mr. Litzenburg’s alleged be offering, the corporate known as federal prosecutors”.

The editorial states that the topic didn’t reply to requests for remark, and his legal professional claims that paperwork may perhaps comprise inaccuracies. The editorial continues

“Mr. Litzenburg gets his day in court docket, yet all of the Roundup litigation is a stickup. The Environmental Coverage Company and world regulators have carried out intensive analysis and concluded that glyphosate, the lively element in Roundup, isn’t carcinogenic. That proof hasn’t stopped 3 juries from enforcing greater than $2.Four billion in consequences. Judges have lower the ones cumulative damages to a few $189 million, and the verdicts are being appealed. However Bayer faces Roundup court cases from some 42,700 plaintiffs.

“Mr. Litzenburg could have figured he might escape along with his alleged extortion as a result of he’s noticed first-hand the wear that junk-science litigation can do irrespective of the reality.”

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